A Diplomatic Triumph for Iran

Iran's Nuclear Deal with Turkey and Brazil after ten month of deadlock in its nuclear issue has several key implications for the main players of the issue as follow:
1. The Deal was a diplomatic victory for Iran in several ways. First, it was a way out of deadlock and progress to weaken the pressure of west to impose more sanction on Iran. Second, entering the new players like Turkey and Brazil, Iran expanded the number of its nuclear issue players in order to increase the domain of its action and choices. Third, the Deal has shown the diplomatic ability of Iran and its curiosity to interact with the west and the rest of the world.
2. It is also a victory for the Turkey because this country is going to increase its role in the region and especially Middle East. This kind of mediation can contribute to reach to the aim.
3. Russia is the main loser of the Deal. Iran proved than it does not want to put all its eggs in the one basket. It was a signal to Russia that Iran does not want to be the scapegoat of the Russian-west relations. Iran is going to pursue its interest with or without Russia.
4. The west-the U.S and Europe- is another loser of the Iran nuclear deal. The west has been organized the strong and great propaganda to show that Iran is irrational state which does not respect international community and does not accept the rule of the game. So the chance of reaching any agreement with Iran is too low. West is at cross road now. If it accepts the Deal, Iran can get the necessary fuel it needs for Tehran reactor. So it’s a tremendous diplomatic triumph for Iran. If the west rejects the Deal, Iran’s skepticism and mistrust towards the west would be proved. In this way Iran is the winner too. On the other hand the Deal widened the gap between the west and the rest of the world on the Iran nuclear issue. After the Deal some states praised Iran’s desire to solve the nuclear issue. On the other hand the U.S and some European states declared that it was an Iranian deceive and nothing important. And as a result they are pursuing to impose more sanction on Iran. The gap also is getting widened among United Nation Security Council. Some non permanent states and also china supported the Deal. This is clearly what Iran has been following.
Besides the above mentioned points there are some negative issues:
1. The Deal can promote the Turkey’s role in the region and perhaps increase the rivalry between the Iran and Turkey in other aspects of the region.
2. After all West can conclude that through pressure can change Iranian behavior. This is a bad news for Iran.
The last point but not the least is that the Deal is the beginning of a process. If the west wants to solve the Iran’s nuclear issue it's a good point. Iran should get strong guarantee from the west to swap the nuclear fuel. On the other hand reaching to the saddle point requires confidence building and not politicizing the Iran nuclear issue from both parties. Although stream of the history shows that the west anxiety is somewhere else and they use every excuse in the book to get off the track.

NPT Review: Does It Have Any Sense?

NPT Review meeting has been held in New York aiming at altering the NPT articles in order to bolster the Treaty to guarantee that the non nuclear states cannot obtain nuclear weapons. Although this purpose is ideal and excellent per se but we should be realistic about the matter. As it clear the nuclear weapons and the related issues have been categorized as high politics which usually cannot be tolerated by the states easily. As the records and the history of nuclear weapons have been shown the international law and regulations have not been successful in their tasks in this regards i.e. high politics. For example there are some states which regardless to NPT and other international norms became nuclear and now posses the nuclear warheads. Israel, India and Pakistan are in this category. The important point is that the international community did nothing important to deter them and they easily joined the nuclear club. It seems the NPT has become the instrument of imposing pressure to the non nuclear states to gain political advantage. This instrumental view to the international law has been changed it into vain treaty. The bottom line is that the international relations in its high politics nature is not a matter of law so we cannot expect that such conferences resulted in extraordinary gains although it will be useful to some extent. We should bear in mind that it's difficult to apply international laws' norms and rules on high politics nevertheless it's an ideal and desirable aim. So unfortunately we cannot be optimistic about the NPT review from the international law's point of view.