Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Iran's intelligence victory


Iranian security forces arrested Abdulmalik Rigi, leader of the Jundullah group. Jundullah has in recent years claimed responsibility for several bombing attacks inside Iran that have left dozens or people dead.

Rigi has never denied that his group has some drug trafficking as his main economic backbone. Junullah has the backing of American forces in the region and has a clear relationship with American and Pakistani intelligence. Iran's intelligence minister said that Rigi had spent time at an American military base prior to his arrest. And the Americans had issued Rigi with "an Afghan passport and an identification card for travelling to Pakistan.
What is important in the arrest of Rigi is that the Iranian security forces shown their domination and supervision on the region. Rigi has been supporting by Americans, Pakistani and the Saudi security forces during the past years. In fact these countries directly have involved in terrorism, killing innocent Iranian people, organized crimes drug trafficking etc. it proves again the US double standards in war against terrorism.
Islamic Republic of Iran once again asserts that in spite of the western powers and media's propaganda about Iran's weaknesses, closely monitor and surveillance the situation and can do appropriate actions if necessary to pursue its interest at home and abroad.

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Obama's Retroactive Policy on Iran

Hillary Clinton in her recent visit to Persian Gulf countries warned the “international community” about Iranian nuclear activities. She accused Iran of turning into military dictatorship and said that Iranian officials refused “every offer” to meet and talk about nuclear issue. She talked about imposing more sanction to Iran as the US national security adviser Jim Jones had mentioned before. There are some points about what’s going on in US administration abut Iran as follow:
1. US secretary of state talks about “military dictatorship” in countries which there are no election, and do not have any democratic features. It shows the US double standard criteria in the region and the world.

2. The US officials are making the grave mistake now as they did 31 years ago about Shah Regime. At that time they considered Iran as the “stable island” in the region- as president Carter called Iran- but six month later the Islamic revolution occurred and the Shah Regime was overthrown. Now the US officials think that the Iranian government after some riots aftermath the presidential election in June 2009, has the same condition and is collapsing. They certainly have lack of understanding about Iranian internal affairs.

3. Iran always regards itself as a committed NPT member and it respects the international safeguards regimes about its nuclear facilities. The IAEA reports prove this claim. So calling Iran as “ destabilizing regime” in a region is preposterous and recalling us that the US and its allies wants to justify selling billion of dollars of weapons to the small Arab states of the region.

4. Clinton and her advisers forgot this fact that Iran never refuses negotiation about its nuclear issues. So it is not clear why Clinton repeated that claim again.

5. Clinton asked Saudis to help US for tougher sanction against Iran. This is exactly what destabilizes the region. Provoking the animosity among the states of Persian Gulf region is satanic policy of the United States to pursue its policies.

6. It seems that Obama is going to follow the failed policy of bush on Iran. He should understand that his team could not recognize the Iranian policies and realities, so his policy is a journey to an uncertain destination.

Sunday, February 14, 2010

A Test for Obama's policy in Afghanistan

Afghanistan has been the cemetery of the great powers at least in last three decades. After an unaccomplished mission of the Soviet Union there, the US and its NATO allies are stuck in this country. They have encountered several conditions in the country since 2001 after the US attack to topple down the Taliban regime. As Senator John Kerry already confess the US does not have certain strategy for Afghanistan and in current situation after changing the strategy in Iraq the US defines its strategy in Afghanistan. Although, I think the US officials do not reach the point to adopt a certain policy toward Afghanistan yet. The ambiguity and different vantage points on the Afghanistan issues is clearly distinguishable in US officials' remarks and views. I can refer to the current offensive to Helmand which is said to be the great attack to Taliban strongholds since 2001 with nearly 15000 troops. There are some points on that:

1. After London conference on Afghanistan and deciding to cooperate with Taliban in some issues and not to ignore them, this kind of attack is not sensible. At least it shows dividing Taliban into "bad" or "good" is not a straightforward matter.

2. The coalition forces before the operation publicize the time and the aim of offensive vastly in media. This is exactly against the military doctrine of confidentiality. This caused the Taliban flee from the Helmand.

3. Although it was the US-led operation, some resources mentioned that it is the afghan-led one. As we know the Afghan forces do not have substantial weaponry. So it is only propaganda to show the progress of afghan army.

4. Regardless of the nature of this operation, it is a good test for NATO's ability to encounter the Taliban and al-Qaida. The success of this operation may engage more the NATO in Afghanistan affairs.

5. To win the war on terror in Afghanistan, it seems that the coalition should choose between counter-terrorism and counter-insurgency policies in the ground and analyze their requirements in theory and especially in practice.

6. The US have not learned the lessons from the soviet union experiences in Afghanistan by waging war on a group which cannot be distinguish from the ordinary people. By killing every civilian in Afghanistan in such offensives Taliban can recruit more combatants in this situation there is no victory for the US and its allies in the country because even if they could push back the Taliban from Helmand and defeat them, they easily can come back after the withdrawal of the coalition troops from the province as it happened in the past.

Finally I should emphasis that fighting with invisible enemy does not have clear result even for the super power.