Thursday, June 10, 2010

New Resolution Against Iran: Does It Really Work?

Finally after five month of U.S. hard work to make consensus among major powers, the UN Security Council approved fourth round of sanctions against Iran. Barack Obama one hour after the approval of the resolution called that as “most comprehensive sanctions” and declared that the United States will continue its own sanction alongside the UNSC ones. The U.S. president said that the sanction is not directed to Iranian people. But everybody knows that this is matter of rhetoric. This is Iranian people who at the end of the day suffer from the sanctions. The main question here is that do these sanctions really work? Referring to history the answer is obviously clear: NO. Iran as president Ahmadinejad mentioned will not change its behavior. Iran certainly will reject the Resolution. In other word this Resolution is a wrong signal to Iran because Iranian president clearly had said Iran would halt negotiation if the new resolution passed. Knowing that reality, the U.S tried to adopt the new U.N Resolution and simultaneously the Vienna group sent the negative letter to IAEA in response to may 24th Tehran declaration. It means that regardless of Tehran reaction, the US and the West had decided to approve the resolution. Ironically the US president said the approval of the resolution does not mean that the door of diplomacy is closed. This clearly is a double standard policy toward Iran. The US wants to increase the costs of Iran’s opposition to the West. Once again this Resolution proved that the nature of Iranian government is the main problem of the West, not the nuclear issue. Of course the Resolution not only won’t change the Iranian behavior but also it bolsters the Iranian government position in its nuclear issue and certainly close the door for dialogue and negotiation for at least several month.
Adopting this Resolution is a signal to Iran that if the hegemon is reluctant to do something no one can do that. Iranian diplomatic achievement to make a semi-coalition with Turkey and Brazil was not a desirable matter for the U.S. and that’s why they reacted firmly at the UN Security Council.
Another important point is that this Resolution has domestic consumption for the Obama administration. He-during his 16 month of being in office-did nothing notable toward Iran. He must prove his authority in international arena by resorting to Bush-like measures.
The bottom-line is that the Resolution is counterproductive and was a catastrophic respond to Iranian confidence building measures at top level. Clearly Iran won’t give up its nuclear policies for peaceful purposes and such Resolution does not work and may exacerbate the situation for the West and encounter them to a no-win situation.

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